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AI Work Index

Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager

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AI Exposure Rank

65/100

High

Range 61–68/100 across source-weight sensitivity checks

Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager has an AI Exposure Rank of 65/100, meaning its work is more exposed to current AI capabilities than approximately 65% of Singapore occupations. The evidence currently points to workflow redesign; this is a relative rank, not a probability of job loss.

Workflow redesign

Managers·SGD 6,650/mo (5,050–9,882)·~4.5K workers in SG·Updated 2026-07-17

Relative AI exposure, not a prediction of job loss. Hiring, wages and role design depend on many forces this rank does not forecast.

Wage 19% below group median Exposure 2pp above group median #26 of 61 in Managers →
01

How This Rank Is Built

The evidence behind this occupation's AI exposure, with human-work and demand context shown separately. How this works

Tasks AI can handle

With 65% AI task overlap (based on Felten AIOE, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou GPT exposure, and ILO occupational exposure), the Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager tasks most exposed include: demand forecasting, route optimization, inventory tracking, order processing automation, and supplier performance dashboards.

  • • Monitor operations to ensure that staff members comply with administrative policies and procedures, safety rules, union contracts, environmental policies, or government regulations.
  • • Resolve problems concerning transportation, logistics systems, imports or exports, or customer issues.
  • • Analyze all aspects of corporate logistics to determine the most cost-effective or efficient means of transporting products or supplies.

O*NET tasks for this occupation with the most observed Claude usage (Anthropic task data).

What AI can't do here

At 84% human bottleneck protection, the tasks that remain hardest to automate for Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager include: managing supplier relationships, handling disruptions in real time, negotiating contracts, quality assurance for non-standard goods, and adapting logistics to local regulations.

Main insulation channels: Accountability for others + Deep preparation — the work-context dimensions behind this occupation's human bottleneck.

Skills to focus on

Supply Chain ResilienceVendor NegotiationProcess OptimizationRegulatory Compliance

Sources: Felten AIOE (2021), Anthropic Economic Index (2026), Eloundou GPT Exposure (Science, 2024), ILO GenAI (2025), Pizzinelli et al. bottleneck model. Full methodology.

From exposure to employment

What could change the employment outcome?

AI capability is only the starting point. Adoption, task design, human oversight, demand, mobility and evidence quality determine how exposure may resolve in practice.

01

Workplace adoption

Leading sectors represented

Some listed industries have MOM sector adoption evidence; observed-sector average 62.7%.

02

Task structure

Task evidence available

100% weighted task match · 8% effective coverage

03

Human advantage

Coordination and judgment still matter

At 84% human bottleneck protection, the tasks that remain hardest to automate for Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager include: managing supplier relationships, handling disruptions in real time, negotiating contracts, quality assurance for non-standard goods, and adapting logistics to local regulations.

04

Hiring and demand

3.4% vacancy rate · 2026 Q1

PMET vacancies increased from Q4 and remained below their year-ago level. Hiring stayed net positive but slowed, while retrenchment incidence remained the highest of the three broad occupation groups. In 2025, this broad occupation group had 0.6% time-related underemployment and 2.7% non-permanent employment. Across the published male and female series, CPI-adjusted median income changed -8.5% to -2.6% from 2018 to 2023.

05

Career transitions

Transport/Technical operations manager (except port/shipping operations)

easy modeled transition; outcomes still depend on skills, wages and openings.

06

Evidence strength

medium confidence

4 exposure sources · sensitivity 61–68/100 across source-weight sensitivity checks.

These lenses are reported separately and do not alter AI Exposure Rank. Labour-market figures describe a broad official occupation cluster, not this SSOC occupation alone.

02

Singapore Now

Current labour market conditions and how they affect this role.

Local conditions are under more strain. Vacancies have softened and displacement signals are less forgiving.

Vacancy

3.4%

↓ 2.9% YoY

Hiring

1.2%

vs 0.7% resign

Retrenchment

2.6

per 1,000 · moderate

Re-entry

69.1%

find work in 12mo· +1.4pp

Professionals, Managers, Executives & Technicians · 2026 Q1

Top Industries

Wholesale & Retail Trade
21%
Financial & Insurance Services
15%
Professional Services
11%

Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab, which can lag the main labour monitor.

03

What You Can Do

Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager has some offset potential, but it depends on task redesign holding up in practice and on workers clearing the main switching frictions.

Related roles you could transition to

Exposure-reducing

Higher AI exposure, but comparatively credible exposure-reducing moves exist — the strongest scores 76% match. Escape-route quality and labour demand matter alongside exposure.

Modern roles using this occupation

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Frequently asked questions

Will AI replace Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager?

Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager has an AI Exposure Rank of 65/100, meaning its work is more exposed to current AI capabilities than approximately 65% of Singapore occupations. The evidence currently points to workflow redesign; this is a relative rank, not a probability of job loss. AI Exposure Rank: 65/100 (High). Median wage: SGD 6,650/month.

What is the AI exposure rank for Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager?

Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager has an AI Exposure Rank of 65/100, rated High. It ranks higher than approximately 65% of Singapore occupations for exposure to current AI capabilities; it is not a job-loss probability.

What career transitions are available for Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager?

Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager has modeled transition pathways to related occupations. The strongest adjacent pathway is Production manager in agriculture and fisheries, based on skill and wage similarity (model-estimated). Transition scoring accounts for wage preservation, training ease, and destination quality.

How does Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager salary compare in the live market?

Supply and distribution/Logistics/Warehousing manager earns a median gross wage of SGD 6,650/month in the live market (25th-75th percentile: SGD 5,050-9,882). This is 48% above median across all 562 scored occupations, and 19% below group median within Managers occupations.