What is happening in the job market?

AI exposure is only one part of the story. These free official indicators track hiring composition, job quality, wages and employment movement. They add context; they do not turn correlation into an AI effect.

Current evidence

49.3%

of vacancies were newly created

MOM Job Vacancies 2025 · national employer survey

42.9%

of PMET vacancies were entry-level

December 2025 · separate portal and job-seeker source

2.8% / 4.1%

youth unemployment: PMET / non-PMET

Age 15–29 · Labour Force in Singapore 2025

-8.5% to +8.6%

five-year real wage movement across published series

2018–2023 · broad occupation groups and sex-specific medians

What the broader local check says

Descriptive, not causal

Across 39 two-digit occupation families, the Spearman association between V8 AI Exposure Rank and 2024–2025 employment change is 0.11.

This one-year, overlapping-period comparison does not isolate AI. Employment also responds to demand, migration, demographics, wages, policy and survey variation. A weak or strong association would not by itself validate displacement claims.

What we can and cannot measure

Measured now

Quarterly vacancy, hiring, retrenchment and re-entry context
Annual entry-level requirements and hard-to-fill jobs
Broad-group underemployment and employment type
Nominal and CPI-adjusted broad-group wage movement
Sector AI adoption mapped as partial occupation context

Not yet identified

AI-caused job loss at detailed occupation level
Reliable occupation-level AI use in Singapore
Current postings trends without repeated, deduplicated snapshots
Forecast accuracy before enough post-baseline quarters exist

Sources: MOM Job Vacancies 2025, Labour Force in Singapore 2025, and Singapore Department of Statistics All Items CPI. All inputs are free public sources.