Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker)
AI Exposure Rank
90/100
Range 87–93/100 across source-weight sensitivity checks
Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) has an AI Exposure Rank of 90/100, meaning its work is more exposed to current AI capabilities than approximately 90% of Singapore occupations. The evidence currently points to hiring or substitution pressure; this is a relative rank, not a probability of job loss.
Professionals·SGD 16,000/mo (8,800–20,000)·~7.1K workers in SG·Updated 2026-07-17
Relative AI exposure, not a prediction of job loss. Hiring, wages and role design depend on many forces this rank does not forecast.
How This Rank Is Built
The source percentiles are combined using the displayed reliability weights, then ranked against all 562 Singapore occupations. This is not a percentage of tasks and not a job-loss probability.
Likely job pathway
Hiring or substitution pressure
Current demand context
Mixed current demand
Pathway and demand are reported beside the exposure rank. Current demand does not change the rank.
The evidence behind this occupation's AI exposure, with human-work and demand context shown separately. Score stability: watch. How this works
Tasks AI can handle
With 86% AI task overlap (based on Felten AIOE, Anthropic Economic Index, and Eloundou GPT exposure), the Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) tasks most exposed include: report drafting, data compilation, meeting summarization, email triaging, and standard analytical tasks.
- • Buy or sell stocks, bonds, commodity futures, foreign currencies, or other securities on behalf of investment dealers.
- • Contact prospective customers to present information and explain available services.
- • Monitor markets or positions.
O*NET tasks for this occupation with the most observed Claude usage (Anthropic task data).
What AI can't do here
At 48% human bottleneck protection, the tasks that remain hardest to automate for Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) include: strategic decision-making, client relationship management, professional judgment in edge cases, cross-functional coordination, and ethical oversight.
Main insulation channels: Deep preparation + Non-routine work — the work-context dimensions behind this occupation's human bottleneck.
Skills to focus on
Sources: Felten AIOE (2021), Anthropic Economic Index (2026), Eloundou GPT Exposure (Science, 2024), Pizzinelli et al. bottleneck model. Full methodology.
From exposure to employment
What could change the employment outcome?
AI capability is only the starting point. Adoption, task design, human oversight, demand, mobility and evidence quality determine how exposure may resolve in practice.
Workplace adoption
Leading sectors represented
All listed industries have MOM sector adoption evidence; observed-sector average 56.4%.
Task structure
Task evidence available
100% weighted task match · 41% effective coverage
Human advantage
Coordination and judgment still matter
At 48% human bottleneck protection, the tasks that remain hardest to automate for Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) include: strategic decision-making, client relationship management, professional judgment in edge cases, cross-functional coordination, and ethical oversight.
Hiring and demand
3.4% vacancy rate · 2026 Q1
PMET vacancies increased from Q4 and remained below their year-ago level. Hiring stayed net positive but slowed, while retrenchment incidence remained the highest of the three broad occupation groups. In 2025, this broad occupation group had 0.9% time-related underemployment and 6.9% non-permanent employment. Across the published male and female series, CPI-adjusted median income changed -0.8% to +2.3% from 2018 to 2023.
Career transitions
Oil and bunker trader
easy modeled transition; outcomes still depend on skills, wages and openings.
Evidence strength
high confidence
3 exposure sources · sensitivity 87–93/100 across source-weight sensitivity checks.
These lenses are reported separately and do not alter AI Exposure Rank. Labour-market figures describe a broad official occupation cluster, not this SSOC occupation alone.
Singapore Now
Current labour market conditions and how they affect this role.
Local conditions are under more strain. Vacancies have softened and displacement signals are less forgiving.
Vacancy
3.4%
↓ 2.9% YoY
Hiring
1.2%
vs 0.7% resign
Retrenchment
2.6
per 1,000 · moderate
Re-entry
69.1%
find work in 12mo· +1.4pp
Professionals, Managers, Executives & Technicians · 2026 Q1
Top Industries
Industry vacancy overlays use the latest published detailed cross-tab, which can lag the main labour monitor.
What You Can Do
Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) has some offset potential, but it depends on task redesign holding up in practice and on workers clearing the main switching frictions.
Published transition support
Related roles you could transition to
Exposure-reducingThis occupation has higher relative AI exposure, and its best adjacent move ranks in the weakest quarter of exposure-reducing options. Mobility outcomes also depend on demand, wages, skills and access to credible transitions. See all occupations in this quadrant.
Compare within Professionals
See how this compares to similar occupations
Compare with... →Classification
More exposed than approximately 89% of occupations · V8 AI Exposure Rank· University Degree
Raw scores
AIOE 1.152 · θ 0.672 · C-AIOE 0.936
Stability
watch · Optimistic 26% · Pessimistic 36%
Score range (best/worst case)
Exposure sensitivity 82–89% · Rank sensitivity 87–93/100 across source-weight sensitivity checks
Scoring basis
V8 AI Exposure Rank. A relative Singapore occupation index. It ranks AI task exposure; it is not a probability of job loss or a percentage of tasks.
Wage range (SGD/mo)
25th 8,800 · Median 16,000 · 75th 20,000
Evidence & sources
Data matching
direct · SSOC 24351
Real-world AI usage: +9% vs estimated
Data quality
high evidence · 3 exposure sources · direct mapping
100% weighted task match · 41% effective coverage
AI overlap by data source
Weights: aioe 32% · anthropic 35% · eloundou 33%
Conflicting data signals
Tools & offset factors
What helps
- A meaningful share of the work can likely be reorganized around AI rather than removed outright.
What could slow it down
- Current demand support is thin, so offsets may take longer to show up.
- Employer-side pressure is still elevated in nearby functions.
Worker profile & local context
- Vacancy rate is 3.4% and rose by 0.3 points from last quarter.
- Hiring read: recruitment is running above resignation (1.2% vs 0.7%).
- Retrenchment was moderate at 2.6 per 1,000 employees.
- 69.1% of retrenched workers re-entered employment within 12 months.
- Employer pressure is high, based on 8 captured Singapore-relevant company signals through 2025-10-06.
Worker profile
Gender mix
41% male / 59% femalePublished Singapore worker composition for the detailed occupation family 24 Business & Administration Professionals.
Employment structure
Employee-heavy96% employees, 4% employers or self-employed workers.
Work arrangement
Mostly full-time4% part-time and 96% full-time in 2025.
Age profile
Mid-career heavy14% aged 15 to 29, 62% aged 30 to 49, and 24% aged 50 or older.
Qualification mix
Degree-heavyDegree 81%; Diploma / professional qualification 15%.
Where this work is concentrated
Top planning areas
Sengkang, Bedok, Tampines19% of workers in this occupation group live in these three planning areas.
Residential concentration
Broadly distributed30% live across the top five planning areas in the 2020 Census.
Commute pattern
Mid-range commutesEstimated average commute 37.5 minutes. 33% take 46 minutes or more.
Role profile
How this role's work breaks down across key dimensions. This is a general profile, not an individual measurement.
General role profile on a 0–100 scale. These are modelling inputs, not measurements of an individual job or worker.
How this changes by career stage
Career stage can change the task mix and human context. These directional profiles are illustrative, not occupation-level forecasts of hiring or displacement.
Frequently asked questions
Will AI replace Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker)?
Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) has an AI Exposure Rank of 90/100, meaning its work is more exposed to current AI capabilities than approximately 90% of Singapore occupations. The evidence currently points to hiring or substitution pressure; this is a relative rank, not a probability of job loss. AI Exposure Rank: 90/100 (Very High). Median wage: SGD 16,000/month.
What is the AI exposure rank for Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker)?
Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) has an AI Exposure Rank of 90/100, rated Very High. It ranks higher than approximately 90% of Singapore occupations for exposure to current AI capabilities; it is not a job-loss probability.
What career transitions are available for Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker)?
Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) has modeled transition pathways to related occupations. The strongest adjacent pathway is Oil and bunker trader, based on skill and wage similarity (model-estimated). Transition scoring accounts for wage preservation, training ease, and destination quality.
How does Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) salary compare in the live market?
Commodities trader (excluding oil and bunker) earns a median gross wage of SGD 16,000/month in the live market (25th-75th percentile: SGD 8,800-20,000). This is 256% above median across all 562 scored occupations, and 146% above group median within Professionals occupations.